NFL · Team Predictability · Market Shift · This Season · pool 101

NFL Team Predictability

Which NFL teams the market keeps repricing — how far tonight’s lines sit from each player’s recent base rate. Indexed so 100 = a league-typical game; higher = more uncertain. The ± column carries the noise honestly (small samples). Click a team for its game-by-game form vs a typical game.

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#	Team	Coach	SHIFT	±	GP
1	TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERSTB	Todd Bowles	126	6.4	12
2	ARIZONA CARDINALSARI	Jonathan Gannon	113	6.6	12
3	KANSAS CITY CHIEFSKC	Andy Reid	112	4.2	12
4	SAN FRANCISCO 49ERSSF	Kyle Shanahan	112	8.0	14
5	LOS ANGELES CHARGERSLAC	Jim Harbaugh	111	7.0	12
6	CINCINNATI BENGALSCIN	Zac Taylor	111	4.8	12
7	MINNESOTA VIKINGSMIN	Kevin O'Connell	109	8.8	12
8	NEW YORK GIANTSNYG	John Harbaugh	109	8.0	12
9	DALLAS COWBOYSDAL	Brian Schottenheimer	108	4.7	12
10	WASHINGTON COMMANDERSWAS	Dan Quinn	106	6.3	12
11	CLEVELAND BROWNSCLE	Todd Monken	105	6.9	12
12	CHICAGO BEARSCHI	Ben Johnson	103	3.6	14
13	LAS VEGAS RAIDERSLV	Klint Kubliak	101	7.2	12
14	HOUSTON TEXANSHOU	DeMeco Ryans	101	6.2	14
15	INDIANAPOLIS COLTSIND	Shane Steichen	101	7.7	11
16	NEW YORK JETSNYJ	Aaron Glenn	100	4.4	11
17	CAROLINA PANTHERSCAR	Dave Canales	99	4.8	13
18	GREEN BAY PACKERSGB	Matt LaFleur	99	5.8	12
19	MIAMI DOLPHINSMIA	Jeff Hafley	97	3.4	12
20	PHILADELPHIA EAGLESPHI	Nick Sirianni	97	4.1	12
21	NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTSNE	Mike Vrabel	96	2.7	16
22	BALTIMORE RAVENSBAL	Jesse Minter	95	4.3	12
23	ATLANTA FALCONSATL	Raheem Morris	93	4.8	12
24	PITTSBURGH STEELERSPIT	Mike McCarthy	92	3.2	13
25	BUFFALO BILLSBUF	Sean McDermott	91	3.1	13
26	LOS ANGELES RAMSLA	Sean McVay	91	4.0	15
27	TENNESSEE TITANSTEN	Robert Saleh	91	6.1	15
28	DENVER BRONCOSDEN	Sean Payton	88	4.6	14
29	JACKSONVILLE JAGUARSJAX	Liam Coen	87	5.1	13
30	NEW ORLEANS SAINTSNO	Kellen Moore	87	3.3	12
31	SEATTLE SEAHAWKSSEA	Mike Macdonald	84	2.7	15
32	DETROIT LIONSDET	Dan Campbell	82	4.4	12