NFL · Team Predictability · Market Shift · This Season · pool 99

NFL Team Predictability

Which NFL teams the market keeps repricing — how far tonight’s lines sit from each player’s recent base rate. Indexed so 100 = a league-typical game; higher = more uncertain. The ± column carries the noise honestly (small samples). Click a team for its game-by-game form vs a typical game.

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#	Team	Coach	SHIFT	±	GP
1	HOUSTON TEXANSHOU	DeMeco Ryans	167	–	1
2	LOS ANGELES RAMSLA	Sean McVay	156	–	1
3	NEW ORLEANS SAINTSNO	Kellen Moore	150	–	1
4	ARIZONA CARDINALSARI	Jonathan Gannon	137	–	1
5	BALTIMORE RAVENSBAL	Jesse Minter	130	–	1
6	PHILADELPHIA EAGLESPHI	Nick Sirianni	122	–	1
7	LOS ANGELES CHARGERSLAC	Jim Harbaugh	121	–	1
8	LAS VEGAS RAIDERSLV	Klint Kubliak	118	–	1
9	DENVER BRONCOSDEN	Sean Payton	113	–	1
10	GREEN BAY PACKERSGB	Matt LaFleur	113	–	1
11	NEW YORK JETSNYJ	Aaron Glenn	107	–	1
12	CHICAGO BEARSCHI	Ben Johnson	106	0.3	2
13	ATLANTA FALCONSATL	Raheem Morris	103	–	1
14	SAN FRANCISCO 49ERSSF	Kyle Shanahan	98	–	1
15	PITTSBURGH STEELERSPIT	Mike McCarthy	98	–	1
16	INDIANAPOLIS COLTSIND	Shane Steichen	96	–	1
17	TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERSTB	Todd Bowles	95	–	1
18	WASHINGTON COMMANDERSWAS	Dan Quinn	93	–	1
19	NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTSNE	Mike Vrabel	92	17.7	2
20	BUFFALO BILLSBUF	Sean McDermott	91	–	1
21	CLEVELAND BROWNSCLE	Todd Monken	87	–	1
22	DALLAS COWBOYSDAL	Brian Schottenheimer	86	–	1
23	SEATTLE SEAHAWKSSEA	Mike Macdonald	83	–	1
24	NEW YORK GIANTSNYG	John Harbaugh	75	–	1
25	JACKSONVILLE JAGUARSJAX	Liam Coen	75	–	1
26	TENNESSEE TITANSTEN	Robert Saleh	59	–	1