CFB · Team Predictability · Market Shift · This Season · pool 100

CFB Team Predictability

Which CFB teams the market keeps repricing — how far tonight’s lines sit from each player’s recent base rate. Indexed so 100 = a league-typical game; higher = more uncertain. The ± column carries the noise honestly (small samples). Click a team for its game-by-game form vs a typical game.

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#	Team	SHIFT	±	GP
1	TA-MTA-M	171	94.6	2
2	UCONNCONN	170	–	1
3	UCLAUCLA	151	–	1
4	UNLVUNLV	145	–	1
5	AUBURNAUB	145	–	1
6	JAMES MADISONJMU	144	–	1
7	FLORIDA STATEFSU	130	–	1
8	CLEMSONCLEM	129	–	1
9	MISSISSIPPI STATEMSST	128	–	1
10	FLORIDAFLA	127	–	1
11	MISSOURIMIZ	126	5.0	2
12	OKLAHOMA STATEOKST	122	–	1
13	STANFORDSTAN	122	18.1	3
14	RUTGERSRUTG	118	–	1
15	INDIANAIU	118	6.4	2
16	MARYLANDMD	117	–	1
17	ALABAMAALA	114	5.0	4
18	LIBERTYLIB	113	–	1
19	VIRGINIAUVA	111	17.8	3
20	NEBRASKANEB	109	–	1
21	LOUISVILLELOU	109	9.2	2
22	MIAMIMIA	108	–	1
23	IOWAIOWA	108	–	1
24	OREGON STATEORST	107	–	1
25	WESTERN KENTUCKYWKU	107	–	1
26	JACKSONVILLE STATEJXST	104	–	1
27	OHIO STATEOSU	103	13.8	2
28	TULSATLSA	103	–	1
29	COASTAL CAROLINACCU	103	–	1
30	WYOMINGWYO	103	2.3	2
31	LSULSU	103	–	1
32	KENNESAW STATEKENN	101	–	1
33	MARSHALLMRSH	101	–	1
34	BOWLING GREENBGSU	101	–	1
35	HAWAI'IHAW	101	–	1
36	EASTERN MICHIGANEMU	101	2.1	2
37	GEORGIAUGA	101	11.6	2
38	DELAWAREDEL	101	–	1
39	GEORGIA SOUTHERNGASO	100	–	1
40	VIRGINIA TECHVT	100	–	1
41	NORTH DAKOTA STATENDSU	100	–	1
42	MEMPHISMEM	100	10.8	2
43	ARKANSAS STATEARST	100	–	1
44	MIDDLE TENNESSEEMTSU	99	–	1
45	VANDERBILTVAN	98	–	1
46	WEST VIRGINIAWVU	96	–	1
47	FRESNO STATEFRES	96	–	1
48	SOUTH FLORIDAUSF	96	–	1
49	OREGONORE	94	–	1
50	KENTUCKYUK	94	–	1
51	PITTSBURGHPITT	93	–	1
52	TEXASTEX	92	–	1
53	DUKEDUKE	90	–	1
54	HOUSTONHOU	88	–	1
55	USCUSC	88	3.8	2
56	UTAHUTAH	88	–	1
57	OKLAHOMAOU	88	–	1
58	PENN STATEPSU	88	4.3	2
59	ILLINOISILL	87	–	1
60	TOLEDOTOL	86	–	1
61	WASHINGTON STATEWSU	85	–	1
62	WAKE FORESTWAKE	84	7.8	2
63	ARKANSASARK	83	–	1
64	MICHIGANMICH	83	–	1
65	MICHIGAN STATEMSU	83	3.6	2
66	PURDUEPUR	82	–	1
67	NOTRE DAMEND	81	5.3	2
68	TENNESSEETENN	81	–	1
69	NC STATENCSU	80	6.4	2
70	WASHINGTONWASH	80	–	1
71	OLE MISSMISS	77	–	1
72	CALIFORNIACAL	76	–	1