NFL · Team Reverse Correlation · 1st Half WIN ▲ + Full Game WIN ▼ · Last 3 Seasons

NFL Team Correlation Tool

The team-subject inverse: give each segment × market leg its own direction and see how often a NFL team clears the whole mixed combo in one game — e.g. wins the first 5 innings ▲ but loses the game ▼. Tap a market to cycle it over ▲ → under ▼ → off, then use each leg’s Δ stepper to walk its line onto any alternate rung. Click a row for the per-leg dot grid.

Set Favorite / Underdog before reading a spread — “fails to cover” means lost or tied as the −0.5 favorite but lost outright as the +0.5 dog, so a pooled rate isn’t bettable. Set ties to match your book: two-way moneylines push, three-way ones make the draw a loss and pay more (~1.3pp on the MLB F5 combo). Lines are the consensus closing line across every book that posted the market.

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lg avg 11.6% · 32 teams

Team	Games	PUSH	REC	Combo %	Edge
ATLATL	36	4	7-29	19.4%	▼3.8%
NYJNYJ	37	3	7-30	18.9%	▼13.7%
INDIND	39	1	7-32	17.9%	▼1.6%
TENTEN	39	1	7-32	17.9%	▼10.8%
PHIPHI	41	4	7-34	17.1%	▼2.0%
CINCIN	37	2	6-31	16.2%	▼8.8%
GBGB	38	4	6-32	15.8%	▲1.8%
BALBAL	39	3	6-33	15.4%	▼1.6%
NONO	39	1	6-33	15.4%	▼14.6%
JAXJAX	41	—	6-35	14.6%	▼10.9%
NYGNYG	35	5	5-30	14.3%	▼5.3%
NENE	43	2	6-37	14.0%	▼9.5%
LVLV	36	4	5-31	13.9%	▼9.3%
HOUHOU	44	—	6-38	13.6%	▼12.0%
ARIARI	37	3	5-32	13.5%	▼8.6%
MIAMIA	37	2	5-32	13.5%	▼14.1%
LALA	40	5	5-35	12.5%	▼4.4%
DALDAL	37	3	4-33	10.8%	▼9.2%
DENDEN	39	4	4-35	10.3%	▼15.9%
PITPIT	39	3	4-35	10.3%	▼6.8%
TBTB	39	2	4-35	10.3%	▼9.0%
SFSF	40	2	4-36	10.0%	▼21.7%
CLECLE	37	3	3-34	8.1%	▼10.3%
WASWAS	37	6	3-34	8.1%	▼19.2%
KCKC	39	3	3-36	7.7%	▼6.8%
LACLAC	39	3	3-36	7.7%	▼22.1%
CARCAR	38	2	2-36	5.3%	▼19.3%
SEASEA	39	4	2-37	5.1%	▼16.3%
CHICHI	42	1	2-40	4.8%	▼20.0%
DETDET	36	4	1-35	2.8%	▼14.8%
MINMIN	37	3	1-36	2.7%	▼18.3%
BUFBUF	42	3	1-41	2.4%	▼16.3%