NFL · Team Reverse Correlation · 1st Half WIN ▲ + Full Game WIN ▼ · Last 3 Seasons

NFL Team Correlation Tool

The team-subject inverse: give each segment × market leg its own direction and see how often a NFL team clears the whole mixed combo in one game — e.g. wins the first 5 innings ▲ but loses the game ▼. Tap a market to cycle it over ▲ → under ▼ → off, then use each leg’s Δ stepper to walk its line onto any alternate rung. Click a row for the per-leg dot grid.

Set Favorite / Underdog before reading a spread — “fails to cover” means lost or tied as the −0.5 favorite but lost outright as the +0.5 dog, so a pooled rate isn’t bettable. Set ties to match your book: two-way moneylines push, three-way ones make the draw a loss and pay more (~1.3pp on the MLB F5 combo). Lines are the consensus closing line across every book that posted the market.

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lg avg 11.4% · 32 teams

Team	Games	PUSH	REC	Combo %	Edge
TENTEN	50	1	12-38	24.0%	▼2.3%
ATLATL	44	7	9-35	20.5%	▼2.0%
CINCIN	47	4	8-39	17.0%	▼6.9%
NYJNYJ	48	3	8-40	16.7%	▼11.3%
ARIARI	50	1	8-42	16.0%	▼0.5%
DENDEN	51	3	8-43	15.7%	▼8.7%
PHIPHI	53	4	8-45	15.1%	▼6.5%
GBGB	51	4	7-44	13.7%	▲1.8%
SFSF	54	2	7-47	13.0%	▼22.5%
HOUHOU	55	2	7-48	12.7%	▼13.8%
NYGNYG	48	3	6-42	12.5%	▼2.1%
NONO	49	2	6-43	12.2%	▼18.1%
BALBAL	50	5	6-44	12.0%	▼7.1%
MIAMIA	50	2	6-44	12.0%	▼12.7%
LALA	51	6	6-45	11.8%	▼6.0%
NENE	53	2	6-47	11.3%	▼11.0%
WASWAS	48	6	5-43	10.4%	▼17.7%
INDIND	49	2	5-44	10.2%	▼6.4%
CARCAR	50	2	5-45	10.0%	▼18.2%
SEASEA	50	4	5-45	10.0%	▼10.3%
JAXJAX	51	1	5-46	9.8%	▼13.0%
KCKC	53	5	5-48	9.4%	▲0.6%
LVLV	46	5	4-42	8.7%	▼11.5%
DALDAL	49	3	4-45	8.2%	▼11.5%
LACLAC	50	3	4-46	8.0%	▼22.3%
DETDET	51	4	4-47	7.8%	▼14.2%
PITPIT	51	3	4-47	7.8%	▼3.7%
MINMIN	45	7	3-42	6.7%	▼17.0%
CLECLE	48	4	3-45	6.3%	▼6.4%
CHICHI	49	4	3-46	6.1%	▼18.8%
TBTB	49	5	3-46	6.1%	▼15.7%
BUFBUF	57	1	3-54	5.3%	▼15.6%