MLB · Team Reverse Correlation · First 5 Inn WIN ▲ + Full Game WIN ▼ · Last 3 Seasons

MLB Team Correlation Tool

The team-subject inverse: give each segment × market leg its own direction and see how often a MLB team clears the whole mixed combo in one game — e.g. wins the first 5 innings ▲ but loses the game ▼. Tap a market to cycle it over ▲ → under ▼ → off, then use each leg’s Δ stepper to walk its line onto any alternate rung. Click a row for the per-leg dot grid.

Set Favorite / Underdog before reading a spread — “fails to cover” means lost or tied as the −0.5 favorite but lost outright as the +0.5 dog, so a pooled rate isn’t bettable. Set ties to match your book: two-way moneylines push, three-way ones make the draw a loss and pay more (~1.3pp on the MLB F5 combo). Lines are the consensus closing line across every book that posted the market.

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lg avg 8.8% · 30 teams

Team	Games	PUSH	REC	Combo %	Edge
CHICAGO WHITE SOXCWS	399	88	55-344	13.8%	▼12.6%
DETROIT TIGERSDET	406	80	44-362	10.8%	▼12.2%
LOS ANGELES ANGELSLAA	414	72	44-370	10.6%	▼13.2%
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKSAZ	423	64	43-380	10.2%	▼14.2%
SEATTLE MARINERSSEA	412	73	41-371	10.0%	▼14.3%
MINNESOTA TWINSMIN	421	65	41-380	9.7%	▼15.3%
NEW YORK METSNYM	413	73	40-373	9.7%	▼15.0%
WASHINGTON NATIONALSWSH	424	62	41-383	9.7%	▼14.6%
KANSAS CITY ROYALSKC	404	82	39-365	9.7%	▼15.7%
PITTSBURGH PIRATESPIT	394	92	38-356	9.6%	▼15.4%
COLORADO ROCKIESCOL	426	60	40-386	9.4%	▼16.7%
LOS ANGELES DODGERSLAD	417	69	39-378	9.4%	▼13.2%
CHICAGO CUBSCHC	396	90	37-359	9.3%	▼15.0%
TEXAS RANGERSTEX	415	72	38-377	9.2%	▼15.1%
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTSSF	403	83	36-367	8.9%	▼14.3%
OAKLAND ATHLETICSATH	429	57	38-391	8.9%	▼14.5%
MIAMI MARLINSMIA	422	64	36-386	8.5%	▼17.6%
ST. LOUIS CARDINALSSTL	411	76	34-377	8.3%	▼16.5%
CINCINNATI REDSCIN	401	88	33-368	8.2%	▼15.8%
BALTIMORE ORIOLESBAL	420	66	34-386	8.1%	▼15.3%
ATLANTA BRAVESATL	421	66	34-387	8.1%	▼16.3%
BOSTON RED SOXBOS	412	76	33-379	8.0%	▼16.6%
HOUSTON ASTROSHOU	422	62	33-389	7.8%	▼17.8%
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIESPHI	411	75	32-379	7.8%	▼16.5%
MILWAUKEE BREWERSMIL	404	82	30-374	7.4%	▼16.3%
TAMPA BAY RAYSTB	418	68	31-387	7.4%	▼16.5%
NEW YORK YANKEESNYY	411	74	30-381	7.3%	▼14.1%
TORONTO BLUE JAYSTOR	416	71	30-386	7.2%	▼18.7%
SAN DIEGO PADRESSD	415	71	25-390	6.0%	▼17.3%
CLEVELAND GUARDIANSCLE	400	85	21-379	5.3%	▼18.2%