MLB · Team Reverse Correlation · First 5 Inn WIN ▲ + Full Game WIN ▼ · Last 3 Seasons

MLB Team Correlation Tool

The team-subject inverse: give each segment × market leg its own direction and see how often a MLB team clears the whole mixed combo in one game — e.g. wins the first 5 innings ▲ but loses the game ▼. Tap a market to cycle it over ▲ → under ▼ → off, then use each leg’s Δ stepper to walk its line onto any alternate rung. Click a row for the per-leg dot grid.

Set Favorite / Underdog before reading a spread — “fails to cover” means lost or tied as the −0.5 favorite but lost outright as the +0.5 dog, so a pooled rate isn’t bettable. Set ties to match your book: two-way moneylines push, three-way ones make the draw a loss and pay more (~1.3pp on the MLB F5 combo). Lines are the consensus closing line across every book that posted the market.

⌕

lg avg 8.8% · 30 teams

Team	Games	PUSH	REC	Combo %	Edge
CHICAGO WHITE SOXCWS	380	85	52-328	13.7%	▼13.0%
DETROIT TIGERSDET	388	75	42-346	10.8%	▼12.1%
LOS ANGELES ANGELSLAA	393	71	42-351	10.7%	▼13.0%
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKSAZ	405	61	43-362	10.6%	▼13.5%
KANSAS CITY ROYALSKC	389	76	39-350	10.0%	▼15.1%
NEW YORK METSNYM	393	71	39-354	9.9%	▼14.7%
COLORADO ROCKIESCOL	406	58	40-366	9.9%	▼16.1%
PITTSBURGH PIRATESPIT	378	87	37-341	9.8%	▼15.2%
MINNESOTA TWINSMIN	400	64	39-361	9.8%	▼15.3%
SEATTLE MARINERSSEA	392	72	38-354	9.7%	▼14.8%
LOS ANGELES DODGERSLAD	399	65	38-361	9.5%	▼13.0%
WASHINGTON NATIONALSWSH	408	58	38-370	9.3%	▼15.1%
OAKLAND ATHLETICSATH	408	57	37-371	9.1%	▼14.1%
CHICAGO CUBSCHC	382	83	34-348	8.9%	▼15.8%
TEXAS RANGERSTEX	396	70	35-361	8.8%	▼15.5%
MIAMI MARLINSMIA	407	58	35-372	8.6%	▼17.6%
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTSSF	385	80	33-352	8.6%	▼14.8%
BALTIMORE ORIOLESBAL	403	63	34-369	8.4%	▼14.6%
ST. LOUIS CARDINALSSTL	393	73	33-360	8.4%	▼16.3%
BOSTON RED SOXBOS	397	70	33-364	8.3%	▼16.2%
ATLANTA BRAVESATL	403	62	33-370	8.2%	▼16.1%
CINCINNATI REDSCIN	381	86	31-350	8.1%	▼16.0%
NEW YORK YANKEESNYY	391	73	30-361	7.7%	▼13.3%
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIESPHI	393	71	30-363	7.6%	▼16.8%
TAMPA BAY RAYSTB	399	65	30-369	7.5%	▼16.3%
MILWAUKEE BREWERSMIL	389	76	29-360	7.5%	▼16.3%
TORONTO BLUE JAYSTOR	396	70	28-368	7.1%	▼19.1%
HOUSTON ASTROSHOU	404	59	28-376	6.9%	▼19.3%
SAN DIEGO PADRESSD	396	68	24-372	6.1%	▼17.3%
CLEVELAND GUARDIANSCLE	382	81	21-361	5.5%	▼17.8%