SGPLAB

CFB · Team Reverse Correlation · 1st Half WIN ▲ + Full Game WIN ▼ · Last 3 Seasons

CFB Team Correlation Tool

The team-subject inverse: give each segment × market leg its own direction and see how often a CFB team clears the whole mixed combo in one game — e.g. wins the first 5 innings ▲ but loses the game ▼. Tap a market to cycle it over ▲ under ▼ → off, then use each leg’s Δ stepper to walk its line onto any alternate rung. Click a row for the per-leg dot grid.

Set Favorite / Underdog before reading a spread — “fails to cover” means lost or tied as the −0.5 favorite but lost outright as the +0.5 dog, so a pooled rate isn’t bettable. Set ties to match your book: two-way moneylines push, three-way ones make the draw a loss and pay more (~1.3pp on the MLB F5 combo). Lines are the consensus closing line across every book that posted the market.

1st Half WIN Full Game WIN
lg avg 8.8% · 220 teams
TeamGamesPUSHRECCombo %Edge
ARKANSASARK2145-1623.8%21.8%
BOSTON COLLEGEBC2145-1623.8%15.7%
MASSACHUSETTSMASS2225-1722.7%9.0%
WESTERN CAROLINAWCU2225-1722.7%16.3%
NORTH ALABAMAUNA2315-1821.7%8.9%
NORTH DAKOTAUND2515-2020.0%90.8%
UTAH STATEUSU255-2020.0%19.5%
VIRGINIA TECHVT255-2020.0%2.8%
FRESNO STATEFRES265-2119.2%21.3%
TROYHVCC265-2119.2%8.3%
WASHINGTON STATEWSU265-2119.2%3.4%
AUSTIN PEAYAPSU2134-1719.0%18.3%
MERRIMACKMRMK2124-1719.0%19.4%
FLORIDAFLA2234-1818.2%6.6%
UABUAB2224-1818.2%4.7%
BETHUNE-COOKMANBCU2314-1917.4%9.0%
ELONELON2314-1917.4%
FLORIDA ATLANTICFAU2314-1917.4%8.3%
GARDNER-WEBBGWEB2314-1917.4%7.9%
MAINEME2314-1917.4%12.8%
MARSHALLMRSH2324-1917.4%6.6%
NEVADANEV2324-1917.4%4.3%
OREGON STATEORST2314-1917.4%6.0%
OKLAHOMAOU2334-1917.4%3.7%
SACRAMENTO STATESAC2314-1917.4%76.2%
BOWLING GREENBGSU2414-2016.7%0.9%
CAMPBELLCAM244-2016.7%8.1%
DELAWARE STATEDSU244-2016.7%6.5%
EAST TENNESSEE STATEETSU244-2016.7%
RUTGERSRUTG2414-2016.7%4.3%
UTSAUTSA2424-2016.7%7.5%
MINNESOTAMINN2514-2116.0%19.4%
SOUTH ALABAMAUSA254-2116.0%5.0%
WAKE FORESTWAKE254-2116.0%1.7%
AUBURNAUB1953-1615.8%4.9%
LIBERTYLIB1953-1615.8%6.1%
CALIFORNIACAL264-2215.4%11.0%
TOLEDOTOL264-2215.4%8.3%
ALABAMA STATEALST2043-1715.0%87.5%
COLGATECOLG2043-1715.0%
ROBERT MORRISRMU2043-1715.0%4.8%
SAN JOSÉ STATESJSU2053-1715.0%5.9%
TEXAS SOUTHERNTXSO2023-1715.0%
WOFFORDWOF2043-1715.0%
EAST TEXAS A&METAM2133-1814.3%
NORTH CAROLINA A&TNCAT2133-1814.3%
NEW MEXICO STATENMSU2133-1814.3%5.8%
RICHMONDRICH2143-1814.3%9.4%
BRYANTBRY2223-1913.6%17.0%
HOLY CROSSHC2223-1913.6%19.2%
KANSAS STATEKSU2233-1913.6%5.5%
LINDENWOODLIN2223-1913.6%11.0%
SAMFORDSAM2213-1913.6%
WESTERN ILLINOISWIU2223-1913.6%6.0%
ALABAMA A&MAAMU2313-2013.0%
HOWARDHOW2313-2013.0%7.3%
IDAHO STATEIDST2313-2013.0%37.6%
NEBRASKANEB2333-2013.0%6.6%
NORTHERN ILLINOISNIU2323-2013.0%4.1%
OLD DOMINIONODU2323-2013.0%14.9%
SOUTH CAROLINASC2323-2013.0%9.4%
TULSATLSA2313-2013.0%9.6%
UCFUCF2313-2013.0%5.3%
IOWAIOWA2423-2112.5%23.0%
IOWA STATEISU2423-2112.5%2.3%
NORFOLK STATENORF243-2112.5%4.2%
PITTSBURGHPITT2423-2112.5%6.0%
SOUTHERN ILLINOISSIU243-2112.5%15.0%
TEXAS STATETXST2423-2112.5%7.7%
NORTHERN COLORADOUNCO243-2112.5%94.5%
WISCONSINWIS243-2112.5%14.6%
EAST CAROLINAECU2513-2212.0%17.0%
LOUISIANA TECHLT2513-2212.0%20.8%
TCUTCU2513-2212.0%6.9%
NEW HAMPSHIREUNH2513-2212.0%25.4%
ARMYARMY2613-2311.5%7.1%
GEORGIA SOUTHERNGASO263-2311.5%10.3%
WESTERN KENTUCKYWKU2613-2311.5%19.7%
MIAMIMIA2723-2411.1%2.4%
PENN STATEPSU2723-2411.1%20.6%
TARLETON STATETAR283-2510.7%18.6%
SOUTHERN UTAHSUU1952-1710.5%
BUCKNELLBUCK2042-1810.0%7.4%
CENTRAL ARKANSASCARK2042-1810.0%
LAFAYETTELAF2042-1810.0%36.5%
GEORGIA STATEGAST2132-199.5%9.2%
KANSASKU2132-199.5%5.4%
MONMOUTHMONM2132-199.5%74.9%
STANFORDSTAN2132-199.5%18.4%
USCUSC2152-199.5%14.3%
BAYLORBAY2232-209.1%22.3%
EASTERN ILLINOISEIU2222-209.1%
FORDHAMFOR2222-209.1%7.3%
LSULSU2242-209.1%8.8%
KENTUCKYUK2222-209.1%17.8%
UL MONROEULM2222-209.1%22.6%
VIRGINIAUVA2242-209.1%0.9%
WAGNERWAG2222-209.1%5.3%
AKRONAKR2312-218.7%9.0%
BUFFALOBUF2322-218.7%16.9%
CHARLESTON SOUTHERNCHSO2312-218.7%7.1%
CINCINNATICIN2322-218.7%19.0%
CAL POLYCP232-218.7%
EASTERN MICHIGANEMU2312-218.7%8.8%
FLORIDA A&MFAMU2312-218.7%12.2%
FLORIDA INTERNATIONALFIU2322-218.7%21.5%
GEORGIA TECHGT2332-218.7%16.6%
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRALNCCU232-218.7%13.0%
OKLAHOMA STATEOKST2312-218.7%12.5%
PORTLAND STATEPRST232-218.7%
PURDUEPUR2312-218.7%3.5%
PRAIRIE VIEW A&MPV2332-218.7%6.7%
STONY BROOKSTBK2312-218.7%13.9%
UCLAUCLA2312-218.7%19.6%
VMIVMI2312-218.7%
WEBER STATEWEB2312-218.7%7.6%
AIR FORCEAF242-228.3%9.4%
MEMPHISMEM2422-228.3%15.6%
NORTHERN ARIZONANAU2412-228.3%7.6%
SAN DIEGO STATESDSU2412-228.3%19.4%
STEPHEN F. AUSTINSFA2422-228.3%10.3%
TEMPLETEM242-228.3%1.4%
CENTRAL MICHIGANCMU252-238.0%5.3%
UCONNCONN2512-238.0%4.7%
HAWAI'IHAW252-238.0%9.7%
RICERICE252-238.0%19.9%
SOUTH FLORIDAUSF2512-238.0%1.1%
ABILENE CHRISTIANACU2622-247.7%25.8%
JAMES MADISONJMU2612-247.7%1.3%
OHIOOHIO2612-247.7%2.6%
TEXAS TECHTTU2612-247.7%16.4%
WESTERN MICHIGANWMU2612-247.7%4.0%
OLE MISSMISS2712-257.4%6.1%
NORTH DAKOTA STATENDSU2722-257.4%
SMUSMU272-257.4%6.8%
ALCORN STATEALCN2041-195.0%
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFFUAPB2031-195.0%
BALL STATEBALL2131-204.8%20.5%
DELAWAREDEL2131-204.8%8.7%
EASTERN KENTUCKYEKU2141-204.8%12.9%
FURMANFUR2121-204.8%
TEXAS A&MTA&M2151-204.8%17.7%
TOWSONTOW2131-204.8%7.4%
UTEPUTEP2131-204.8%23.0%
UT MARTINUTM2151-204.8%17.0%
FLORIDA STATEFSU2221-214.5%2.3%
LAMARLAM2231-214.5%9.2%
MISSOURIMIZ2241-214.5%19.8%
TENNESSEETENN2241-214.5%1.1%
NORTH CAROLINAUNC2231-214.5%19.2%
CHATTANOOGAUTC2221-214.5%7.4%
VANDERBILTVAN2241-214.5%19.1%
WYOMINGWYO2221-214.5%9.3%
ARKANSAS STATEARST2331-224.3%19.8%
COLORADOCOLO2321-224.3%10.4%
EASTERN WASHINGTONEWU2311-224.3%6.1%
LOUISVILLELOU2331-224.3%12.6%
MURRAY STATEMUR2311-224.3%5.5%
SYRACUSESYR2321-224.3%7.4%
WASHINGTONWASH2331-224.3%2.1%
ARIZONA STATEASU2431-234.2%18.2%
DUKEDUKE2431-234.2%22.7%
JACKSON STATEJKST2421-234.2%
KENT STATEKENT241-234.2%3.2%
MARYLANDMD241-234.2%7.3%
MISSISSIPPI STATEMSST2411-234.2%6.7%
MICHIGAN STATEMSU241-234.2%17.4%
NORTHWESTERNNU2411-234.2%17.0%
NORTHWESTERN STATENWST241-234.2%
INCARNATE WORDUIW2421-234.2%13.2%
NEW MEXICOUNM2411-234.2%17.2%
UTAHUTAH2411-234.2%16.6%
ARIZONAARIZ251-244.0%7.7%
BOISE STATEBOIS2531-244.0%12.5%
CLEMSONCLEM2521-244.0%4.2%
IDAHOIDHO2511-244.0%15.7%
JACKSONVILLE STATEJXST2531-244.0%20.9%
MIAMI (OH)M-OH2531-244.0%5.3%
LOUISIANAUL2521-244.0%5.5%
NORTH TEXASUNT2521-244.0%17.7%
ALABAMAALA2621-253.8%17.4%
COASTAL CAROLINACCU261-253.8%19.0%
MERCERMER261-253.8%10.7%
SOUTH DAKOTA STATESDST2631-253.8%
GEORGIAUGA2621-253.8%16.6%
TULANETULN2711-263.7%19.9%
RHODE ISLANDURI2711-263.7%23.4%
TEXASTEX2811-273.6%21.2%
UNLVUNLV281-273.6%20.0%
OHIO STATEOSU2911-283.4%10.3%
ILLINOIS STATEILST311-303.2%7.2%
MONTANA STATEMTST3110-310.0%9.7%
INDIANAIU2810-280.0%11.8%
OREGONORE2810-280.0%11.0%
UC DAVISUCD270-270.0%7.4%
BYUBYU2610-260.0%18.9%
NOTRE DAMEND2620-260.0%12.4%
SOUTH DAKOTASDAK2630-260.0%19.3%
ILLINOISILL2510-250.0%19.7%
NAVYNAVY2510-250.0%15.2%
NC STATENCSU2510-250.0%20.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA STATESCST2410-240.0%6.6%
VILLANOVAVILL2450-240.0%
COLORADO STATECSU2320-230.0%22.0%
DUQUESNEDUQ230-230.0%21.0%
HOUSTONHOU2320-230.0%18.3%
INDIANA STATEINST2310-230.0%
MORGAN STATEMORG2310-230.0%6.9%
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATESEMO2320-230.0%17.9%
TENNESSEE TECHTNTC2320-230.0%12.5%
WEST VIRGINIAWVU2320-230.0%18.5%
CENTRAL CONNECTICUTCCSU2240-220.0%7.6%
CHARLOTTECOLLE2220-220.0%17.7%
KENNESAW STATEKENN2240-220.0%19.3%
LEHIGHLEH2240-220.0%
MICHIGANMICH2240-220.0%13.1%
MIDDLE TENNESSEEMTSU2220-220.0%21.3%
MISSOURI STATEMOST2140-210.0%17.7%
NORTHERN IOWAUNI2130-210.0%20.3%
WEST GEORGIAWGA2020-200.0%