SGPLAB

CFB · Team Reverse Correlation · 1st Half WIN ▲ + Full Game WIN ▼ · Last 3 Seasons

CFB Team Correlation Tool

The team-subject inverse: give each segment × market leg its own direction and see how often a CFB team clears the whole mixed combo in one game — e.g. wins the first 5 innings ▲ but loses the game ▼. Tap a market to cycle it over ▲ → under ▼ → off, then use each leg’s Δ stepper to walk its line onto any alternate rung. Click a row for the per-leg dot grid.

Set Favorite / Underdog before reading a spread — “fails to cover” means lost or tied as the −0.5 favorite but lost outright as the +0.5 dog, so a pooled rate isn’t bettable. Set ties to match your book: two-way moneylines push, three-way ones make the draw a loss and pay more (~1.3pp on the MLB F5 combo). Lines are the consensus closing line across every book that posted the market.

1st Half WIN ▲Full Game WIN ▼
⌕
lg avg 8.8% · 229 teams
TeamGamesPUSHRECCombo %Edge
NORTH ALABAMAUNA3017-2323.3%▼8.9%
VIRGINIA TECHVT32—7-2521.9%▲8.5%
WASHINGTON STATEWSU3217-2521.9%▲10.4%
MERRIMACKMRMK2826-2221.4%▼15.2%
WESTERN CAROLINAWCU2926-2320.7%▼16.3%
MASSACHUSETTSMASS3026-2420.0%▲2.4%
COLGATECOLG2565-2020.0%▲86.4%
TROYHVCC3116-2519.4%▼2.8%
ROBERT MORRISRMU2655-2119.2%▼6.5%
ARKANSASARK2755-2218.5%▲5.2%
BOSTON COLLEGEBC2745-2218.5%▲2.5%
WOFFORDWOF2845-2317.9%▲79.2%
GARDNER-WEBBGWEB2935-2417.2%▲25.1%
NORTH CAROLINA A&TNCAT2935-2417.2%▼8.0%
OKLAHOMAOU2935-2417.2%▼1.4%
SOUTH CAROLINASC2925-2417.2%▲2.5%
TEXAS STATETXST2935-2417.2%▲15.5%
UABUAB2925-2417.2%▼4.1%
BOWLING GREENBGSU3025-2516.7%▲0.9%
ELONELON3025-2516.7%▼8.5%
IDAHO STATEIDST3015-2516.7%▲19.4%
NEBRASKANEB3035-2516.7%▲4.2%
TULSATLSA3115-2616.1%▼1.9%
UTAH STATEUSU31—5-2616.1%▼17.6%
AUBURNAUB2554-2116.0%▲3.0%
EAST CAROLINAECU3215-2715.6%▼3.3%
FRESNO STATEFRES3215-2715.6%▼19.4%
TEXAS SOUTHERNTXSO2624-2215.4%▼8.6%
GEORGIA SOUTHERNGASO33—5-2815.2%▲9.9%
PENN STATEPSU3335-2815.2%▲22.5%
NORTH DAKOTAUND3315-2815.2%▲41.1%
NEVADANEV2744-2314.8%▼3.7%
SAN JOSÉ STATESJSU2754-2314.8%▲0.7%
KANSAS STATEKSU2834-2414.3%▼2.0%
LINDENWOODLIN2824-2414.3%▼12.4%
UCFUCF2824-2414.3%▲4.5%
AUSTIN PEAYAPSU2934-2513.8%▼12.0%
FLORIDA ATLANTICFAU2914-2513.8%▼12.4%
FLORIDAFLA2934-2513.8%▼11.9%
GEORGIA TECHGT2934-2513.8%▼2.4%
HOWARDHOW2924-2513.8%▼7.3%
MARSHALLMRSH2934-2513.8%▼2.8%
OLD DOMINIONODU2934-2513.8%▼10.2%
SAMFORDSAM2914-2513.8%▲93.5%
WESTERN ILLINOISWIU2924-2513.8%▼6.0%
BETHUNE-COOKMANBCU3014-2613.3%▼8.2%
CAMPBELLCAM3014-2613.3%▼8.1%
EAST TENNESSEE STATEETSU3014-2613.3%▼3.7%
MAINEME3014-2613.3%▼7.8%
OREGON STATEORST3014-2613.3%▼9.5%
PORTLAND STATEPRST30—4-2613.3%—
RUTGERSRUTG3014-2613.3%▼2.8%
SACRAMENTO STATESAC3014-2613.3%▼4.6%
TEMPLETEM3014-2613.3%▲6.8%
TENNESSEE STATETNST3024-2613.3%—
ALABAMA A&MAAMU3114-2712.9%—
MINNESOTAMINN3114-2712.9%▼19.7%
PITTSBURGHPITT3124-2712.9%▼4.5%
SOUTHERN ILLINOISSIU3114-2712.9%▼9.4%
NORTHERN COLORADOUNCO3114-2712.9%▲91.6%
SOUTH ALABAMAUSA3114-2712.9%▼3.6%
UTSAUTSA3124-2712.9%▼11.0%
ARMYARMY3224-2812.5%▼5.4%
DELAWARE STATEDSU32—4-2812.5%▼4.9%
WAKE FORESTWAKE32—4-2812.5%▼6.3%
CALIFORNIACAL33—4-2912.1%▼16.4%
TOLEDOTOL33—4-2912.1%▼2.0%
LAFAYETTELAF2643-2311.5%▲20.0%
LIBERTYLIB2653-2311.5%▼11.1%
SOUTHERN UTAHSUU2653-2311.5%▼13.5%
ALABAMA STATEALST2743-2411.1%▲38.2%
GEORGIA STATEGAST2733-2411.1%▲4.6%
RICHMONDRICH2753-2411.1%▼8.4%
UL MONROEULM2733-2411.1%▼10.6%
BRYANTBRY2833-2510.7%▼12.2%
DELAWAREDEL2833-2510.7%▼0.1%
EASTERN KENTUCKYEKU2843-2510.7%▼12.4%
EAST TEXAS A&METAM2833-2510.7%—
HOLY CROSSHC2833-2510.7%▼12.7%
NEW MEXICO STATENMSU2833-2510.7%▼10.0%
KENTUCKYUK2833-2510.7%▼11.6%
BUFFALOBUF2933-2610.3%▲10.3%
CINCINNATICIN2923-2610.3%▼12.2%
HAMPTONHAMP2923-2610.3%—
IOWAIOWA2933-2610.3%▼18.8%
IOWA STATEISU2933-2610.3%▼4.0%
NORTHERN ILLINOISNIU2923-2610.3%▼10.3%
PRAIRIE VIEW A&MPV2953-2610.3%▼4.8%
SYRACUSESYR2923-2610.3%▲2.0%
TOWSONTOW2933-2610.3%▼7.1%
VMIVMI2923-2610.3%—
AKRONAKR3013-2710.0%▼5.9%
LOUISIANA TECHLT3023-2710.0%▼19.0%
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRALNCCU3013-2710.0%▼8.0%
TCUTCU3023-2710.0%▼11.3%
VIRGINIAUVA3043-2710.0%▼2.8%
WISCONSINWIS30—3-2710.0%▼15.4%
NORFOLK STATENORF31—3-289.7%▼4.2%
NORTHWESTERN STATENWST31—3-289.7%—
WEBER STATEWEB3113-289.7%▼6.6%
HAWAI'IHAW32—3-299.4%▼7.7%
MEMPHISMEM3223-299.4%▼9.9%
MIAMIMIA3233-299.4%▼4.0%
RICERICE32—3-299.4%▼14.0%
SOUTH FLORIDAUSF3213-299.4%▼0.9%
COASTAL CAROLINACCU33—3-309.1%▼12.2%
SMUSMU33—3-309.1%▼2.9%
NEW HAMPSHIREUNH3313-309.1%▼15.6%
WESTERN KENTUCKYWKU3313-309.1%▼19.6%
JAMES MADISONJMU3413-318.8%▼9.0%
TEXASTEX3413-318.8%▼1.0%
UNLVUNLV3413-318.8%▼6.7%
TARLETON STATETAR35—3-328.6%▼22.1%
BUCKNELLBUCK2652-247.7%▼7.4%
KANSASKU2642-247.7%▼9.6%
MONMOUTHMONM2652-247.7%▲34.0%
CENTRAL ARKANSASCARK2742-257.4%—
EASTERN ILLINOISEIU2742-257.4%—
USCUSC2762-257.4%▼12.8%
WEST GEORGIAWGA2722-257.4%▼8.8%
BAYLORBAY2832-267.1%▼19.6%
KENNESAW STATEKENN2852-267.1%▼4.1%
MERCYHURSTMERC2822-267.1%▼4.0%
MICHIGANMICH2842-267.1%▲1.1%
OKLAHOMA STATEOKST2822-267.1%▼14.7%
UCLAUCLA2822-267.1%▼20.3%
NORTH CAROLINAUNC2832-267.1%▼11.5%
UT MARTINUTM2852-267.1%▼11.6%
WAGNERWAG2832-267.1%▼5.3%
ARKANSAS STATEARST2942-276.9%▼11.2%
CHARLESTON SOUTHERNCHSO2922-276.9%▼7.6%
COLORADOCOLO2922-276.9%▼7.1%
FLORIDA A&MFAMU2922-276.9%▼12.2%
FLORIDA INTERNATIONALFIU2932-276.9%▼20.7%
FORDHAMFOR2932-276.9%▼5.3%
LSULSU2942-276.9%▼11.6%
STANFORDSTAN2932-276.9%▼17.1%
AIR FORCEAF3012-286.7%▼13.4%
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATEMVSU3022-286.7%▼4.5%
PURDUEPUR3012-286.7%▼5.5%
SAN DIEGO STATESDSU3022-286.7%▼20.8%
STONY BROOKSTBK3012-286.7%▼16.3%
UTAH TECHUTU3012-286.7%—
WASHINGTONWASH3032-286.7%▼1.0%
ARIZONAARIZ31—2-296.5%▼3.8%
BOISE STATEBOIS3132-296.5%▼5.5%
UCONNCONN3122-296.5%▼3.5%
CAL POLYCP31—2-296.5%▼12.3%
EASTERN MICHIGANEMU3112-296.5%▼13.5%
EASTERN WASHINGTONEWU3112-296.5%▼4.0%
JACKSONVILLE STATEJXST3142-296.5%▼12.3%
MIAMI (OH)M-OH3142-296.5%▼2.5%
MARYLANDMD31—2-296.5%▼5.2%
MICHIGAN STATEMSU31—2-296.5%▼11.4%
NORTHERN ARIZONANAU3122-296.5%▼6.2%
STEPHEN F. AUSTINSFA3122-296.5%▼10.3%
CENTRAL MICHIGANCMU32—2-306.3%▼10.7%
NC STATENCSU3212-306.3%▼6.2%
TEXAS TECHTTU3212-306.3%▼14.8%
ABILENE CHRISTIANACU3332-316.1%▼25.8%
ALABAMAALA3322-316.1%▼9.1%
OLE MISSMISS3312-316.1%▼11.9%
NORTH DAKOTA STATENDSU3332-316.1%▼14.3%
OHIOOHIO3312-316.1%▼9.7%
WESTERN MICHIGANWMU3312-316.1%▼3.9%
OHIO STATEOSU3612-345.6%▼3.9%
MONTANAMONT37—2-355.4%▼16.9%
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFFUAPB2631-253.8%—
BALL STATEBALL2741-263.7%▼18.3%
FLORIDA STATEFSU2741-263.7%▼8.4%
FURMANFUR2731-263.7%—
SACRED HEARTSHU2731-263.7%▼11.2%
TEXAS A&MTA&M2761-263.7%▼17.9%
NORTHERN IOWAUNI2731-263.7%▼11.1%
ALCORN STATEALCN2841-273.6%—
DUQUESNEDUQ2811-273.6%▼14.2%
MISSOURIMIZ2851-273.6%▼20.2%
MISSOURI STATEMOST2841-273.6%▼11.1%
MURRAY STATEMUR2831-273.6%▼7.3%
STONEHILLSTO2821-273.6%▼4.9%
UTEPUTEP2831-273.6%▼17.8%
VANDERBILTVAN2851-273.6%▼17.0%
CHARLOTTECOLLE2921-283.4%▼16.7%
LAMARLAM2931-283.4%▼10.4%
LOUISVILLELOU2941-283.4%▼15.3%
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATESEMO2931-283.4%▼12.4%
TENNESSEETENN2941-283.4%▼9.7%
CHATTANOOGAUTC2921-283.4%▼7.4%
VILLANOVAVILL2971-283.4%—
ARIZONA STATEASU3031-293.3%▼17.9%
HOUSTONHOU3021-293.3%▼11.5%
JACKSON STATEJKST3031-293.3%—
MISSISSIPPI STATEMSST3011-293.3%▼13.1%
NORTHWESTERNNU3011-293.3%▼16.7%
NEW MEXICOUNM3011-293.3%▼14.4%
NORTH TEXASUNT3031-293.3%▼16.5%
UTAHUTAH3011-293.3%▼14.0%
WEST VIRGINIAWVU3021-293.3%▼12.4%
WYOMINGWYO3021-293.3%▼14.7%
CLEMSONCLEM3121-303.2%▼10.1%
DUKEDUKE3131-303.2%▼22.1%
ILLINOISILL3111-303.2%▼9.6%
KENT STATEKENT31—1-303.2%▼10.2%
INCARNATE WORDUIW3121-303.2%▼9.9%
IDAHOIDHO3211-313.1%▼10.1%
MERCERMER3221-313.1%▼6.8%
TULANETULN3221-313.1%▼20.1%
LOUISIANAUL3221-313.1%▼11.5%
SOUTH DAKOTA STATESDST3331-323.0%▼18.3%
GEORGIAUGA3321-323.0%▼13.6%
UC DAVISUCD34—1-332.9%▼7.0%
RHODE ISLANDURI3411-332.9%▼20.5%
MONTANA STATEMTST3631-352.8%▼15.3%
ILLINOIS STATEILST38—1-372.6%▼15.8%
INDIANAIU3510-350.0%▼11.8%
OREGONORE3410-340.0%▼12.4%
NOTRE DAMEND3320-330.0%▼10.2%
SOUTH DAKOTASDAK3340-330.0%▼13.6%
BYUBYU3120-310.0%▼18.2%
NAVYNAVY3110-310.0%▼17.2%
SOUTH CAROLINA STATESCST3110-310.0%▼6.6%
INDIANA STATEINST3010-300.0%▼4.9%
MORGAN STATEMORG3010-300.0%▼6.9%
TENNESSEE TECHTNTC3020-300.0%▼12.5%
COLORADO STATECSU2920-290.0%▼20.4%
LEHIGHLEH2940-290.0%—
MIDDLE TENNESSEEMTSU2830-280.0%▼20.3%
CENTRAL CONNECTICUTCCSU2750-270.0%▼5.9%
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEYRGV1810-180.0%▼7.6%