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WNBA · margins & totals

WNBA Key Numbers

A −3 and a −3.5 are not the same bet. Where the number sits decides whether you push, and it prices the half-point you pay to move off it. This is where WNBA games actually landed — every final margin and every final total, 2003–2026. 6.6% of the last 5,733 games were decided by exactly 8.

The half-point across a number is worth exactly the share of games that land on it, so the Landed % column is the price you should be willing to pay to buy through it. A number is tagged key when it stands at least 1.3× above its neighbours — a real spike, not just a common number. Some sports have no key numbers at all, and the board says so rather than inventing them.

Closing spreadtoavailable 1–20.5
Full game · how often each margin came up5,733 games · 2003–2026 · showing margins 0–25
0%2%4%6%012345678910111213141516171819202122232425

Bar height is how often each margin came up — that is what the half-point across it is worth. marks a key number: one that spikes above the numbers immediately around it. The two are different, so the tallest bar is not always marked. Hover or tap a bar for the detail; the spread columns below carry the market side.

30 of 49 numbers · ranked by how often they came up
Won by ⇅Landed % ⇅Games ⇅Spike ⇅Cum % ⇅Posted ⇅Push % ⇅
86.65%3810.59pt45.6%13—
56.16%3530.18pt26.7%18—
76.14%3520.02pt38.9%17—
66.09%349-0.06pt32.8%15—
106.02%3450.60pt57.4%18—
35.86%3360.50pt14.9%19—
95.79%332-0.29pt51.4%10—
45.63%323-0.34pt20.5%2520.0%
25.09%2920.56pt9.0%18—
115.04%2890.07pt62.4%7—
124.15%238-0.37pt66.6%2—
133.99%2290.08pt70.6%8—
143.68%2110.18pt74.2%3—
13.44%197-1.66pt3.9%13—
153.00%172-0.25pt77.2%3—
162.83%1620.01pt80.1%3—
172.63%1510.01pt82.7%2—
182.42%1390.27pt85.1%1—
201.67%960.16pt88.4%——
191.64%94-0.41pt86.8%1—
211.40%80-0.10pt89.8%——
231.34%770.23pt92.3%——
241.15%660.24pt93.4%——
221.08%62-0.29pt90.9%——
250.75%43-0.20pt94.2%——
270.75%430.05pt95.6%——
280.72%410.04pt96.3%——
260.68%39-0.07pt94.8%——
290.66%380.06pt97.0%——
00.51%29—0.5%——

Margins are absolute (won by N, either side) and totals are the combined final score, both including overtime — the way the full-game market settles. Segment views (halves, quarters, periods, first innings) come from the linescore tables, so a segment counts only when every one of its periods is present. All-Star games, preseason and exhibitions are excluded. Posted and Push % come from closing lines, which cover a shorter span than the scores everywhere except the NFL — there, nflverse carries the closing spread and total on every game back to 1999, so the two line up exactly. This is where the numbers actually landed — the half-point across a key number is worth exactly the games in that bar.