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WNBA · margins & totals

WNBA Key Numbers

A −3 and a −3.5 are not the same bet. Where the number sits decides whether you push, and it prices the half-point you pay to move off it. This is where WNBA games actually landed — every final margin and every final total, 2003–2026. 6.6% of the last 5,704 games were decided by exactly 8.

The half-point across a number is worth exactly the share of games that land on it, so the Landed % column is the price you should be willing to pay to buy through it. A number is tagged key when it stands at least 1.3× above its neighbours — a real spike, not just a common number. Some sports have no key numbers at all, and the board says so rather than inventing them.

Closing spreadtoavailable 1–20.5
Full game · how often each margin came up5,704 games · 20032026 · showing margins 0–25
0%2%4%6%012345678910111213141516171819202122232425

Bar height is how often each margin came up — that is what the half-point across it is worth. marks a key number: one that spikes above the numbers immediately around it. The two are different, so the tallest bar is not always marked. Hover or tap a bar for the detail; the spread columns below carry the market side.

30 of 48 numbers · ranked by how often they came up
Won byLanded %GamesSpikeCum %PostedPush %
86.63%3780.59pt45.9%13
56.17%3520.18pt27.0%18
76.17%3520.03pt39.3%17
66.12%349-0.05pt33.1%15
105.96%3400.54pt57.7%18
35.86%3340.50pt15.2%19
95.82%332-0.25pt51.8%10
45.63%321-0.36pt20.8%2520.0%
25.08%2900.56pt9.4%18
115.01%2860.05pt62.7%7
124.10%234-0.40pt66.8%2
134.00%2280.11pt70.8%8
143.66%2090.17pt74.5%3
13.42%195-1.67pt4.3%13
153.00%171-0.22pt77.5%3
162.77%158-0.04pt80.3%3
172.63%1500.06pt82.9%2
182.37%1350.23pt85.3%1
201.65%940.15pt88.5%
191.63%93-0.38pt86.9%1
211.37%78-0.12pt89.9%
231.35%770.24pt92.3%
241.14%650.23pt93.5%
221.09%62-0.27pt91.0%
00.86%490.9%
270.75%430.06pt95.6%
250.74%42-0.21pt94.2%
280.72%410.05pt96.4%
260.67%38-0.08pt94.9%
290.67%380.06pt97.0%

Margins are absolute (won by N, either side) and totals are the combined final score, both including overtime — the way the full-game market settles. Segment views (halves, quarters, periods, first innings) come from the linescore tables, so a segment counts only when every one of its periods is present. All-Star games, preseason and exhibitions are excluded. Posted and Push % come from closing lines, which cover a shorter span than the scores everywhere except the NFL — there, nflverse carries the closing spread and total on every game back to 1999, so the two line up exactly. This is where the numbers actually landed — the half-point across a key number is worth exactly the games in that bar.