CFB · margins & totals

CFB Key Numbers

A −3 and a −3.5 are not the same bet. Where the number sits decides whether you push, and it prices the half-point you pay to move off it. This is where CFB games actually landed — every final margin and every final total, 2023–2026. 7.9% of the last 11,483 games were decided by exactly 3.

The half-point across a number is worth exactly the share of games that land on it, so the Landed % column is the price you should be willing to pay to buy through it. A number is tagged key when it stands at least 1.3× above its neighbours — a real spike, not just a common number. Some sports have no key numbers at all, and the board says so rather than inventing them.

Closing spreadtoavailable 1–54.5

Full game · how often each margin came up11,483 games · 2023–2026 · showing margins 1–34

Bar height is how often each margin came up — that is what the half-point across it is worth. marks a key number: one that spikes above the numbers immediately around it. The two are different, so the tallest bar is not always marked. Hover or tap a bar for the detail; the spread columns below carry the market side.

Won by ⇅	Landed % ⇅	Games ⇅	Spike ⇅	Cum % ⇅	Posted ⇅	Push % ⇅
3	7.87%	904	4.92pt	14.2%	146	23.3%
7	7.26%	834	4.89pt	29.5%	87	13.8%
14	4.09%	470	2.68pt	46.2%	52	0.0%
10	3.94%	452	2.22pt	37.0%	51	7.8%
21	3.74%	430	2.35pt	61.1%	24	12.5%
1	3.29%	378	0.57pt	3.6%	58	6.9%
4	3.17%	364	0.48pt	17.3%	46	6.5%
17	3.14%	360	1.72pt	52.1%	23	0.0%
28	2.98%	342	1.94pt	74.1%	8	—
24	2.78%	319	1.48pt	66.4%	19	—
2	2.73%	313	-0.51pt	6.3%	36	0.0%
6	2.66%	305	-0.20pt	22.2%	43	7.0%
8	2.54%	292	-0.75pt	32.0%	10	—
5	2.19%	252	-3.02pt	19.5%	22	4.5%
35	2.08%	239	1.34pt	83.5%	4	—
11	2.04%	234	0.51pt	39.0%	8	—
18	1.95%	224	0.29pt	54.1%	4	—
20	1.92%	220	0.22pt	57.3%	4	—
27	1.92%	220	0.52pt	71.2%	5	—
25	1.75%	201	0.22pt	68.2%	7	—
31	1.75%	201	0.79pt	77.8%	3	—
13	1.65%	190	-0.07pt	42.1%	20	5.0%
42	1.54%	177	1.04pt	90.1%	4	—
34	1.45%	167	0.39pt	81.4%	2	—
22	1.44%	165	-0.91pt	62.5%	2	—
15	1.42%	163	-0.98pt	47.6%	10	—
16	1.41%	162	-1.13pt	49.0%	7	—
12	1.39%	160	-1.59pt	40.4%	13	—
32	1.38%	159	0.21pt	79.2%	1	—
19	1.35%	155	-1.19pt	55.4%	7	—

Margins are absolute (won by N, either side) and totals are the combined final score, both including overtime — the way the full-game market settles. Segment views (halves, quarters, periods, first innings) come from the linescore tables, so a segment counts only when every one of its periods is present. All-Star games, preseason and exhibitions are excluded. Posted and Push % come from closing lines, which cover a shorter span than the scores everywhere except the NFL — there, nflverse carries the closing spread and total on every game back to 1999, so the two line up exactly. This is where the numbers actually landed — the half-point across a key number is worth exactly the games in that bar.